CONMEBOL Libertadores badgeCONMEBOL Libertadores · 28 April 2026AI PICK

Libertad Asuncion badgeLibertad AsuncionvsIndependiente del Valle badgeIndependiente del Valle

2 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.9%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+7.6 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +7.6%
Our model58.9%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 7.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Libertad Asuncion badge

Libertad Asuncion

Attack55
Defence43
Form36
Independiente del Valle badge

Independiente del Valle

Attack79
Defence52
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.6%Correct
Our model58.9%
The market51.3%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
1.95

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.5%Correct
Our model52.9%
The market44.4%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
2.25

Draw No Bet

Libertad Asuncion (DNB)

Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Libertad Asuncion Win

Our model37.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-12.8
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.