Libertadvs
Aucas
3 - 2Full time · 0 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 75.7%
- Market said
- 59.9%
- Edge
- +15.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.67
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67
The market underrated this by 15.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Libertad
Aucas
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 2 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 1.36
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +15.8
- Odds
- 1.67
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +8.7
- Odds
- 1.83
Draw No Bet
Libertad (DNB)
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Libertad Win
- Edge
- -16.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 0 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.