Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 4 September 2026AI PICK

Libertad badgeLibertadvsEmelec badgeEmelec

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
60.7%
Edge
+0.5 pts
Best odds
1.56

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.56

MediumEdge +0.5%
Our model61.2%
The market60.7%

The market underrated this by 0.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Libertad badge

Libertad

Attack53
Defence61
Form53
Emelec badge

Emelec

Attack41
Defence50
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +13.1%Correct
Our model82.1%
The market69.0%
Edge
+13.1
Odds
1.45

Draw No Bet

Libertad (DNB)

Edge +28.5%Void
Our model77.0%
The market48.5%
Edge
+28.5
Odds
2.06

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.5%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market60.7%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.56

Match Winner

Libertad Win

Edge +23.6%Miss
Our model60.0%
The market36.4%
Edge
+23.6
Odds
2.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.3%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market54.3%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model12.7%
The market14.6%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
6.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.7%

1-1

14.7% · actual

0-0

12.8%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.