Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 21 April 2026AI PICK

Libertad badgeLibertadvsGuayaquil City FC badgeGuayaquil City FC

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
75.7%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+16.9 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

High confidenceEdge +16.9%
Our model75.7%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 16.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Libertad badge

Libertad

Attack45
Defence40
Form37
Guayaquil City FC badge

Guayaquil City FC

Attack37
Defence42
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.9%Correct
Our model75.7%
The market58.8%
Edge
+16.9
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model63.3%
The market54.6%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Libertad Win

Edge +6.7%Miss
Our model56.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+6.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Libertad (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.