Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 25 August 2026AI PICK

Libertad badgeLibertadvsMacara badgeMacara

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
52.2%
Edge
+1.6 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

LowEdge +1.6%
Our model53.8%
The market52.2%

The market underrated this by 1.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Libertad badge

Libertad

Attack61
Defence46
Form53
Macara badge

Macara

Attack61
Defence69
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.5%Correct
Our model76.3%
The market75.8%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.32

Draw No Bet

Macara (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.6%
The market58.8%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.6%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market52.2%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.8%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market44.9%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
2.14

Match Winner

Macara Win

Miss
Our model43.2%
The market45.5%
Edge
-2.3
Odds
2.20

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.