Liègevs
Dender
1 - 2Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.2%
- Market said
- 57.1%
- Edge
- +1.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 1.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Liège
Dender
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 1.23
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +6.8
- Odds
- 2.19
Draw No Bet
Dender (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.8
- Odds
- 1.82
Match Winner
Dender Win
- Edge
- -4.3
- Odds
- 2.26
Correct Score
Score: 3-0
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 6.16
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
3-0
14.1%
2-0
12.8%
4-0
11.6%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.