Ligue 1 badgeLigue 1 · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Lille badgeLillevsAuxerre badgeAuxerre

0 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.0%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+19.4 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +19.4%
Our model67.0%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 19.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Lille badge

Lille

Attack43
Defence100
Form64
Auxerre badge

Auxerre

Attack43
Defence66
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market83.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.20

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.4%Correct
Our model67.0%
The market47.6%
Edge
+19.4
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Lille Win

Miss
Our model62.1%
The market75.2%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.8%Miss
Our model56.1%
The market51.3%
Edge
+4.8
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Lille (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.6%
Our model12.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.13

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.6%

0-1

11.8%

1-1

10.9%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.