Lillestromvs
Fredrikstad
1 - 4Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.0%
- Market said
- 45.8%
- Edge
- +8.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.14
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.14
The market underrated this by 8.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -4.9
- Odds
- 1.19
Draw No Bet
Lillestrom (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.36
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +8.2
- Odds
- 2.14
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.4
- Odds
- 2.22
Match Winner
Lillestrom Win
- Edge
- -9.5
- Odds
- 1.69
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.9
- Odds
- 7.01
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
12.4%
1-1
14.3%
0-0
11.7%
We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.