Eliteserien badgeEliteserien · 18 July 2026AI PICK

Lillestrom badgeLillestromvsKFUM Oslo badgeKFUM Oslo

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.8%
Market said
45.3%
Edge
+10.5 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +10.5%
Our model55.8%
The market45.3%

The market underrated this by 10.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Lillestrom badge

Lillestrom

Attack48
Defence69
Form49
KFUM Oslo badge

KFUM Oslo

Attack34
Defence37
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market83.3%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.20

Draw No Bet

Lillestrom (DNB)

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model57.9%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.5%Close
Our model55.8%
The market45.3%
Edge
+10.5
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model55.3%
The market58.0%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
1.70

Match Winner

Lillestrom Win

Correct
Our model41.6%
The market58.8%
Edge
-17.2
Odds
1.70

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model10.7%
The market12.3%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
8.11

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.7%

1-1

13.9%

0-0

9.8%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.