Championship badgeChampionship · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Lincoln badgeLincolnvsPortsmouth badgePortsmouth

1 - 3
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
52.5%
Edge
+5.9 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +5.9%
Our model58.4%
The market52.5%

The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Lincoln badge

Lincoln

Attack31
Defence38
Form38
Portsmouth badge

Portsmouth

Attack31
Defence41
Form25

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model72.7%
The market74.1%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.35

Draw No Bet

Lincoln (DNB)

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model59.4%
The market56.8%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
1.76

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.9%Miss
Our model58.4%
The market52.5%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +5.3%Miss
Our model52.7%
The market47.4%
Edge
+5.3
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Lincoln Win

Edge +9.1%Miss
Our model39.9%
The market30.8%
Edge
+9.1
Odds
3.25

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model16.7%
The market19.2%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
5.20

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

16.7%

1-1

15.2%

1-0

13.2%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.