Australia Cup · 21 July 2026AI PICK
Lionsvs
Perth Glory
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 76.5%
- Market said
- 25.6%
- Edge
- +50.9 pts
- Best odds
- 3.90
The call, locked before kick-off
MissLions Win
Match Winner · best price 3.90
The market underrated this by 50.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Lions
Perth Glory
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Match Winner
Lions Win
- Edge
- +50.9
- Odds
- 3.90
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +27.3
- Odds
- 2.10
Draw No Bet
Lions (DNB)
- Edge
- +16.0
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -6.6
- Odds
- 1.53
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -12.6
- Odds
- 1.50
Correct Score
Score: 3-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.32
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
3-1
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
7.0%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.