Liverpool Montevideovs
Albion FC
1 - 0Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.5%
- Market said
- 43.0%
- Edge
- +11.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.29
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.29
The market underrated this by 11.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -5.4
- Odds
- 1.28
Draw No Bet
Albion FC (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 2.29
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.2
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
Albion FC Win
- Edge
- +16.4
- Odds
- 3.72
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.48
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.2%
1-1
13.0%
2-1
7.5%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.