Primera División - Apertura · 12 July 2026AI PICK
Liverpool Montevideovs
Cerro
1 - 2Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.0%
- Market said
- 59.6%
- Edge
- +2.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.62
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62
The market underrated this by 2.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -12.3
- Odds
- 1.14
Draw No Bet
Liverpool Montevideo (DNB)
- Edge
- +15.2
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 1.62
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.62
Match Winner
Liverpool Montevideo Win
- Edge
- -20.1
- Odds
- 1.62
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 4.24
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
20.5%
0-0
19.7%
2-0
13.2%
We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.