Primera División · 21 August 2026AI PICK
Liverpool Montevideovs
Cerro
4 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.4%
- Market said
- 59.2%
- Edge
- +0.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.60
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.60
The market underrated this by 0.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -11.3
- Odds
- 1.15
Draw No Bet
Liverpool Montevideo (DNB)
- Edge
- -14.0
- Odds
- 1.29
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +0.2
- Odds
- 1.60
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -4.8
- Odds
- 1.62
Match Winner
Liverpool Montevideo Win
- Edge
- -18.3
- Odds
- 1.65
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.9
- Odds
- 6.70
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
13.0%
1-1
14.9%
0-0
14.0%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.