Liverpoolvs
Atletico Madrid
2 - 1Correct
Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.1%
- Market said
- 59.5%
- Edge
- +2.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.65
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65
MediumEdge +2.6%
Our model62.1%
The market59.5%
The market underrated this by 2.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +3.4%Correct
Our model82.8%
The market79.4%
- Edge
- +3.4
- Odds
- 1.26
Draw No Bet
Liverpool (DNB)
Correct
Our model65.5%
The market73.0%
- Edge
- -7.5
- Odds
- 1.37
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +2.6%Correct
Our model62.1%
The market59.5%
- Edge
- +2.6
- Odds
- 1.65
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Correct
Our model58.1%
The market59.5%
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 1.59
Match Winner
Liverpool Win
Correct
Our model54.2%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -2.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.