Primera A badgePrimera A · 7 September 2026AI PICK

Llaneros badgeLlanerosvsDeportes Tolima badgeDeportes Tolima

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
43.3%
Edge
+10.4 pts
Best odds
2.31

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.31

LowEdge +10.4%
Our model53.7%
The market43.3%

The market underrated this by 10.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Llaneros badge

Llaneros

Attack42
Defence80
Form55
Deportes Tolima badge

Deportes Tolima

Attack59
Defence59
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +4.0%Correct
Our model75.4%
The market71.4%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Deportes Tolima (DNB)

Edge +9.9%Correct
Our model67.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.4%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market43.3%
Edge
+10.4
Odds
2.31

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.7%Correct
Our model52.8%
The market52.1%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.92

Match Winner

Deportes Tolima Win

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model50.0%
The market38.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
2.60

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Correct
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1% · actual

1-1

13.7%

0-1

8.5%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.