Llanerosvs
Deportes Tolima
1 - 2Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 43.3%
- Edge
- +10.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.31
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.31
The market underrated this by 10.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Llaneros
Deportes Tolima
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +4.0
- Odds
- 1.40
Draw No Bet
Deportes Tolima (DNB)
- Edge
- +9.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.4
- Odds
- 2.31
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +0.7
- Odds
- 1.92
Match Winner
Deportes Tolima Win
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 2.60
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.57
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.1% · actual
1-1
13.7%
0-1
8.5%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.