Copa Colombia badgeCopa Colombia · 20 May 2026AI PICK

Llaneros badgeLlanerosvsPatriotas badgePatriotas

3 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.5%
Market said
62.5%
Edge
+8.0 pts
Best odds
1.60

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.60

High confidenceEdge +8.0%
Our model70.5%
The market62.5%

The market underrated this by 8.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Llaneros badge

Llaneros

Attack31
Defence66
Form36
Patriotas badge

Patriotas

Attack24
Defence75
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.0%Miss
Our model70.5%
The market62.5%
Edge
+8.0
Odds
1.60

Match Winner

Llaneros Win

Edge +0.5%Correct
Our model58.3%
The market57.8%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Llaneros (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model41.2%
The market45.5%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.7%Miss
Our model20.2%
The market17.5%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
5.70

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

20.2%

0-0

16.4%

0-1

14.7%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.