First League badgeFirst League · 24 August 2026AI PICK

Lokomotiv Plovdiv badgeLokomotiv PlovdivvsArda Kardzhali badgeArda Kardzhali

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
86.7%
Market said
46.5%
Edge
+40.2 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Arda Kardzhali Win

Match Winner · best price 2.15

High confidenceEdge +40.2%
Our model86.7%
The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 40.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Lokomotiv Plovdiv badge

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Attack33
Defence95
Form52
Arda Kardzhali badge

Arda Kardzhali

Attack48
Defence79
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Draw No Bet

Arda Kardzhali (DNB)

Edge +32.8%Correct
Our model93.4%
The market60.6%
Edge
+32.8
Odds
1.65

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +8.0%Correct
Our model90.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+8.0
Odds
1.22

Match Winner

Arda Kardzhali Win

Edge +40.2%Correct
Our model86.7%
The market46.5%
Edge
+40.2
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model53.8%
The market56.6%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
1.67

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.7%
The market63.4%
Edge
-9.7
Odds
1.53

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Correct
Our model11.3%
The market13.1%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.66

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.3% · actual

1-1

14.7%

0-0

11.7%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.