Lokomotiv Plovdivvs
Arda Kardzhali
0 - 1Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 86.7%
- Market said
- 46.5%
- Edge
- +40.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.15
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectArda Kardzhali Win
Match Winner · best price 2.15
The market underrated this by 40.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Draw No Bet
Arda Kardzhali (DNB)
- Edge
- +32.8
- Odds
- 1.65
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +8.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Match Winner
Arda Kardzhali Win
- Edge
- +40.2
- Odds
- 2.15
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -2.8
- Odds
- 1.67
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -9.7
- Odds
- 1.53
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 7.66
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
11.3% · actual
1-1
14.7%
0-0
11.7%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.