First League badgeFirst League · 25 May 2026AI PICK

Lokomotiv Plovdiv badgeLokomotiv PlovdivvsBotev Plovdiv badgeBotev Plovdiv

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.6%
Market said
55.9%
Edge
+3.7 pts
Best odds
1.79

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.79

MediumEdge +3.7%
Our model59.6%
The market55.9%

The market underrated this by 3.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Lokomotiv Plovdiv badge

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Attack43
Defence51
Form50
Botev Plovdiv badge

Botev Plovdiv

Attack66
Defence62
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +7.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market77.5%
Edge
+7.5
Odds
1.29

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.7%Close
Our model59.6%
The market55.9%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.79

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model56.7%
The market57.5%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
1.74

Match Winner

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Win

Edge +14.3%Correct
Our model50.3%
The market36.0%
Edge
+14.3
Odds
2.78

Draw No Bet

Lokomotiv Plovdiv (DNB)

Correct
Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.7%
Our model13.0%
The market11.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
8.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.0%

1-1

10.4%

1-0

10.0%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.