Lokomotiv Plovdivvs
Cherno More Varna
1 - 0Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.2%
- Market said
- 60.7%
- Edge
- +0.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.59
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.59
The market underrated this by 0.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.35
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +0.5
- Odds
- 1.59
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +0.8
- Odds
- 1.81
Draw No Bet
Lokomotiv Plovdiv (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.9
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Win
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 2.52
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.51
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
9.1% · actual
2-1
5.2%
2-0
4.3%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.