First League badgeFirst League · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Lokomotiv Plovdiv badgeLokomotiv PlovdivvsCherno More Varna badgeCherno More Varna

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
60.7%
Edge
+0.5 pts
Best odds
1.59

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.59

MediumEdge +0.5%
Our model61.2%
The market60.7%

The market underrated this by 0.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Lokomotiv Plovdiv badge

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Attack28
Defence81
Form44
Cherno More Varna badge

Cherno More Varna

Attack44
Defence54
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model73.2%
The market74.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.35

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.5%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market60.7%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.59

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market53.8%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.81

Draw No Bet

Lokomotiv Plovdiv (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Win

Correct
Our model38.2%
The market39.7%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
2.52

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.51

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.1% · actual

2-1

5.2%

2-0

4.3%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.