Cup · 20 May 2026AI PICK

Lokomotiv PlovdivvsCSKA Sofia

1 - 1

Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 69.6%
Market said: 54.1%
Edge: +15.5 pts
Best odds: 1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +15.5%

Our model69.6%

The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 15.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Attack36

Defence81

Form51

CSKA Sofia

Attack38

Defence100

Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Miss

Our model85.0%

The market80.0%

Edge: +5.0
Odds: 1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.5%Correct

Our model69.6%

The market54.1%

Edge: +15.5
Odds: 1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.4%Correct

Our model53.8%

The market52.4%

Edge: +1.4
Odds: 1.91

Draw No Bet

Lokomotiv Plovdiv (DNB)

Void

Our model51.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -6.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Win

Edge +20.7%Miss

Our model42.9%

The market22.2%

Edge: +20.7
Odds: 4.50

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.8%

Our model14.0%

The market12.2%

Edge: +1.8
Odds: 8.20

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

14.0%

0-1

13.0%

1-1

11.2% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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