First League · 16 August 2026AI PICK
Lokomotiv Plovdivvs
Dunav Ruse
1 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.8%
- Market said
- 57.0%
- Edge
- +0.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.70
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70
The market underrated this by 0.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Dunav Ruse
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +15.5
- Odds
- 2.10
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +0.8
- Odds
- 1.70
Draw No Bet
Dunav Ruse (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -2.9
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
Dunav Ruse Win
- Edge
- +12.9
- Odds
- 4.50
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 7.51
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
11.6%
1-1
15.0%
0-0
12.8%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.