First League · 26 July 2026AI PICK
Lokomotiv Plovdivvs
Septemvri Sofia
2 - 1Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.5%
- Market said
- 52.6%
- Edge
- +2.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 2.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 5 right, 1 close
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Draw No Bet
Septemvri Sofia (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +3.4
- Odds
- 1.80
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 2.05
Match Winner
Septemvri Sofia Win
- Edge
- +19.4
- Odds
- 5.25
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 8.43
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
10.3%
1-1
15.0%
0-0
11.8%
We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.