First League badgeFirst League · 14 May 2026AI PICK

Lokomotiv Sofia badgeLokomotiv SofiavsBeroe badgeBeroe

1 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.5%
Market said
57.1%
Edge
+0.4 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Lokomotiv Sofia Win

Match Winner · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +0.4%
Our model57.5%
The market57.1%

The market underrated this by 0.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Lokomotiv Sofia badge

Lokomotiv Sofia

Attack78
Defence34
Form38
Beroe badge

Beroe

Attack29
Defence46
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Draw No Bet

Lokomotiv Sofia (DNB)

Edge +9.9%Void
Our model67.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Lokomotiv Sofia Win

Edge +0.4%Miss
Our model57.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.4
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model50.2%
The market53.2%
Edge
-3.0
Odds
1.88

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model47.8%
The market55.9%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.79

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model14.9%
The market12.9%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.74

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

14.9%

2-0

13.4%

2-1

9.4%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.