Premier League · 10 May 2026AI PICK

LokomotivvsBaltika

1 - 0

Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 60.9%
Market said: 54.6%
Edge: +6.3 pts
Best odds: 1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +6.3%

Our model60.9%

The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 6.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Lokomotiv

Attack67

Defence44

Form52

Baltika

Attack47

Defence79

Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +10.4%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market74.6%

Edge: +10.4
Odds: 1.34

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.3%Miss

Our model60.9%

The market54.6%

Edge: +6.3
Odds: 1.83

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.1%Miss

Our model59.5%

The market47.4%

Edge: +12.1
Odds: 2.11

Draw No Bet

Lokomotiv (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Correct

Our model58.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: +0.9
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Lokomotiv Win

Edge +4.1%Correct

Our model54.1%

The market50.0%

Edge: +4.1
Odds: 2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.3%

Our model10.1%

The market8.8%

Edge: +1.3
Odds: 11.39

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.1% · actual

2-1

9.8%

1-1

8.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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