FA WSL badgeFA WSL · 16 May 2026AI PICK

London City Lionesses badgeLondon City LionessesvsAston Villa W badgeAston Villa W

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.3%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+7.5 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

London City Lionesses Win

Match Winner · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +7.5%
Our model56.3%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 7.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

London City Lionesses badge

London City Lionesses

Attack36
Defence70
Form36
Aston Villa W badge

Aston Villa W

Attack43
Defence28
Form24

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market79.4%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.26

Match Winner

London City Lionesses Win

Edge +7.5%Correct
Our model56.3%
The market48.8%
Edge
+7.5
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model56.1%
The market61.7%
Edge
-5.6
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

London City Lionesses (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.6%
Our model12.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.13

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.6%

1-0

11.8%

1-1

10.9%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.