Non League Div One - Northern Midlands badgeNon League Div One - Northern Midlands · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Long Eaton United badgeLong Eaton UnitedvsBasford United badgeBasford United

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.3%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+5.2 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +5.2%
Our model59.3%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 5.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Long Eaton United badge

Long Eaton United

Attack44
Defence42
Form33
Basford United badge

Basford United

Attack53
Defence47
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.2%Miss
Our model59.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.3%Close
Our model52.9%
The market52.6%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Long Eaton United (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Long Eaton United Win

Correct
Our model46.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-3.5
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.