First Division badgeFirst Division · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Longford Town badgeLongford TownvsCork City badgeCork City

0 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.0%
Market said
55.9%
Edge
+8.1 pts
Best odds
1.79

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.79

MediumEdge +8.1%
Our model64.0%
The market55.9%

The market underrated this by 8.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Longford Town badge

Longford Town

Attack32
Defence67
Form40
Cork City badge

Cork City

Attack81
Defence73
Form73

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.7%
Our model85.0%
The market83.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.20

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model64.0%
The market55.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.79

Match Winner

Cork City Win

Correct
Our model53.9%
The market62.1%
Edge
-8.2
Odds
1.61

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model49.6%
The market53.5%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.87

Draw No Bet

Cork City (DNB)

Correct
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.9%Close
Our model14.3%
The market12.4%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
8.04

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

14.3%

0-2

12.1% · actual

1-2

9.7%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.