First Division badgeFirst Division · 3 August 2026AI PICK

Longford Town badgeLongford TownvsFinn Harps badgeFinn Harps

5 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+1.8 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Longford Town Win

Match Winner · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +1.8%
Our model57.4%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 1.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Longford Town badge

Longford Town

Attack74
Defence43
Form53
Finn Harps badge

Finn Harps

Attack28
Defence34
Form24

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model80.8%
The market90.1%
Edge
-9.3
Odds
1.11

Draw No Bet

Longford Town (DNB)

Edge +11.3%Correct
Our model68.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
+11.3
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Longford Town Win

Edge +1.8%Correct
Our model57.4%
The market55.6%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.80

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.8%
The market56.6%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
1.92

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market48.1%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.84

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss
Our model13.5%
The market15.5%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
6.45

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

13.5%

1-0

11.7%

1-1

10.2%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.