First Division badgeFirst Division · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Longford Town badgeLongford TownvsKerry badgeKerry

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
54.2%
Edge
+4.4 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +4.4%
Our model58.6%
The market54.2%

The market underrated this by 4.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Longford Town badge

Longford Town

Attack92
Defence38
Form58
Kerry badge

Kerry

Attack59
Defence51
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +1.1%
Our model74.6%
The market73.5%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Longford Town (DNB)

Edge +12.4%Miss
Our model67.0%
The market54.6%
Edge
+12.4
Odds
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.4%Miss
Our model58.6%
The market54.2%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.3%
The market59.5%
Edge
-6.2
Odds
1.61

Match Winner

Longford Town Win

Edge +7.5%Miss
Our model51.6%
The market44.1%
Edge
+7.5
Odds
2.27

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.