Longford Townvs
Treaty United
3 - 1Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 65.0%
- Market said
- 60.2%
- Edge
- +4.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.66
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.66
The market underrated this by 4.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Longford Town
Treaty United
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 2 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.8
- Odds
- 1.66
Draw No Bet
Longford Town (DNB)
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -11.3
- Odds
- 1.81
Match Winner
Longford Town Win
- Edge
- -10.1
- Odds
- 2.07
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 6.24
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
18.4%
1-0
13.9%
0-0
13.0%
We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.