First Division badgeFirst Division · 25 July 2026AI PICK

Longford Town badgeLongford TownvsWexford badgeWexford

1 - 2
Miss

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.0%
Market said
40.0%
Edge
+23.0 pts
Best odds
2.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Longford Town Win

Match Winner · best price 2.50

MediumEdge +23.0%
Our model63.0%
The market40.0%

The market underrated this by 23.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Longford Town badge

Longford Town

Attack75
Defence46
Form60
Wexford badge

Wexford

Attack39
Defence46
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +5.9%Miss
Our model75.3%
The market69.4%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Longford Town (DNB)

Edge +11.3%Miss
Our model68.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
+11.3
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Longford Town Win

Edge +23.0%Miss
Our model63.0%
The market40.0%
Edge
+23.0
Odds
2.50

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.4%Correct
Our model55.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model54.2%
The market59.6%
Edge
-5.4
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss
Our model10.0%
The market11.5%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.70

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

10.0%

1-1

10.8%

2-1

10.0%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.