Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 11 May 2026AI PICK

Los Angeles FC badgeLos Angeles FCvsHouston Dynamo badgeHouston Dynamo

1 - 4
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.5%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+5.8 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

MediumEdge +5.8%
Our model67.5%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 5.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Los Angeles FC badge

Los Angeles FC

Attack53
Defence99
Form64
Houston Dynamo badge

Houston Dynamo

Attack53
Defence47
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.8%Correct
Our model67.5%
The market61.7%
Edge
+5.8
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model65.8%
The market59.9%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Los Angeles FC Win

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model54.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Los Angeles FC (DNB)

Miss
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.3%
The market7.2%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.3%

1-1

7.9%

1-2

7.9%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.