Loudoun Unitedvs
Hartford Athletic
2 - 0Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.4%
- Market said
- 49.3%
- Edge
- +8.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 8.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Loudoun United
Hartford Athletic
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -0.4
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.95
Draw No Bet
Loudoun United (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +7.8
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
Loudoun United Win
- Edge
- -8.1
- Odds
- 2.15
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.0
- Odds
- 6.61
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
13.1%
0-0
15.3%
1-1
15.1%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.