USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 1 August 2026AI PICK

Loudoun United badgeLoudoun UnitedvsHartford Athletic badgeHartford Athletic

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
49.3%
Edge
+8.1 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +8.1%
Our model57.4%
The market49.3%

The market underrated this by 8.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Loudoun United badge

Loudoun United

Attack37
Defence41
Form33
Hartford Athletic badge

Hartford Athletic

Attack34
Defence74
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.8%
The market75.2%
Edge
-0.4
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model57.4%
The market49.3%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Loudoun United (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +7.8%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market45.3%
Edge
+7.8
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Loudoun United Win

Correct
Our model38.4%
The market46.5%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
2.15

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Close
Our model13.1%
The market15.1%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
6.61

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.1%

0-0

15.3%

1-1

15.1%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.