USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 5 July 2026AI PICK

Louisville City badgeLouisville CityvsHartford Athletic badgeHartford Athletic

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Over 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
53.1%
Markets called
3 of 5 right
Final score
1 - 0

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.66

LowEdge -4.7%
Our model53.1%
The market57.8%

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Louisville City badge

Louisville City

Attack63
Defence43
Form46
Hartford Athletic badge

Hartford Athletic

Attack38
Defence75
Form55

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Draw No Bet

Louisville City (DNB)

Edge +24.7%Correct
Our model81.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+24.7
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model75.1%
The market90.9%
Edge
-15.8
Odds
1.10

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model53.1%
The market57.8%
Edge
-4.7
Odds
1.66

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market56.4%
Edge
-4.4
Odds
1.70

Match Winner

Louisville City Win

Correct
Our model45.5%
The market64.5%
Edge
-19.0
Odds
1.55

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.9%
The market11.4%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.9%

1-1

11.8%

2-0

9.0%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.