USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Louisville City badgeLouisville CityvsPittsburgh Riverhounds badgePittsburgh Riverhounds

0 - 2
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Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
77.1%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+25.8 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

High confidenceEdge +25.8%
Our model77.1%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 25.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Louisville City badge

Louisville City

Attack79
Defence81
Form81
Pittsburgh Riverhounds badge

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Attack53
Defence56
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +25.8%Close
Our model77.1%
The market51.3%
Edge
+25.8
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +18.6%Miss
Our model68.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+18.6
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Louisville City (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Miss
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Louisville City Win

Edge +7.6%Miss
Our model57.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.0%
Our model8.1%
The market7.1%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
14.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.1%

3-1

7.0%

2-2

6.5%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.