Ludogoretsvs
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2 - 2Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 75.9%
- Market said
- 54.1%
- Edge
- +21.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 21.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 3 right
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +21.8
- Odds
- 1.85
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -10.7
- Odds
- 1.17
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +18.9
- Odds
- 1.83
Draw No Bet
Ludogorets (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Ludogorets Win
- Edge
- -8.8
- Odds
- 1.70
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.17
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8% · actual
We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.