UEFA Europa Conference League badgeUEFA Europa Conference League · 30 July 2026AI PICK

Ludogorets badgeLudogoretsvsHapoel Tel Aviv badgeHapoel Tel Aviv

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
75.9%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+21.8 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

High confidenceEdge +21.8%
Our model75.9%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 21.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Ludogorets badge

Ludogorets

Attack74
Defence48
Form74
Hapoel Tel Aviv badge

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Attack53
Defence94
Form73

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +21.8%Correct
Our model75.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
+21.8
Odds
1.85

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model74.8%
The market85.5%
Edge
-10.7
Odds
1.17

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +18.9%Correct
Our model73.5%
The market54.6%
Edge
+18.9
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Ludogorets (DNB)

Void
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Ludogorets Win

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market58.8%
Edge
-8.8
Odds
1.70

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.6%
The market9.8%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.17

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.6%

1-1

8.1%

2-2

6.8% · actual

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.