First League badgeFirst League · 13 May 2026AI PICK

Ludogorets badgeLudogoretsvsLevski Sofia badgeLevski Sofia

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.2%
Market said
55.9%
Edge
+7.3 pts
Best odds
1.79

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.79

MediumEdge +7.3%
Our model63.2%
The market55.9%

The market underrated this by 7.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ludogorets badge

Ludogorets

Attack60
Defence67
Form47
Levski Sofia badge

Levski Sofia

Attack72
Defence67
Form71

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +7.5%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market77.5%
Edge
+7.5
Odds
1.29

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.3%Correct
Our model63.2%
The market55.9%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
1.79

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.2%Close
Our model61.7%
The market50.5%
Edge
+11.2
Odds
1.98

Draw No Bet

Ludogorets (DNB)

Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Ludogorets Win

Our model35.8%
The market55.6%
Edge
-19.8
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.8%
The market7.7%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-1

8.8% · actual

1-2

8.8%

0-1

8.5%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.