First League · 18 July 2026AI PICK
Ludogoretsvs
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 64.5%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +6.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.67
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67
The market underrated this by 6.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -20.3
- Odds
- 1.05
Draw No Bet
Ludogorets (DNB)
- Edge
- +14.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +6.7
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
Ludogorets Win
- Edge
- -16.8
- Odds
- 1.27
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +10.6
- Odds
- 2.10
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.38
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.4%
3-1
8.4%
2-0
7.0%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.