Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10 May 2026AI PICK

LugovsZamora

1 - 3

Correct

Full time · 2 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 56.7%
Market said: 47.6%
Edge: +9.1 pts
Best odds: 2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +9.1%

Our model56.7%

The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 9.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Lugo

Attack42

Defence45

Form44

Zamora

Attack64

Defence56

Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market76.9%

Edge: +8.1
Odds: 1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.1%Correct

Our model56.7%

The market47.6%

Edge: +9.1
Odds: 2.10

Draw No Bet

Lugo (DNB)

Our model44.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -13.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Lugo Win

Our model32.1%

The market50.0%

Edge: -17.9
Odds: 2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.7%

Our model13.0%

The market11.3%

Edge: +1.7
Odds: 8.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.0%

1-1

10.4%

1-0

10.0%

We called 2 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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