Luparensevs
Mestre
1 - 2Correct
Full time · 2 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 51.0%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +1.0 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectMestre Win
Match Winner · best price 2.00
LowEdge +1.0%
Our model51.0%
The market50.0%
The market underrated this by 1.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Double chance : draw or Mestre
How the two sides compared
Luparense
Attack50
Defence69
Form40
Mestre
Attack25
Defence63
Form47
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 2 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
Edge +18.6%
Our model90.0%
The market71.4%
- Edge
- +18.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Match Winner
Mestre Win
Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model51.0%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- +1.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Mestre (DNB)
Correct
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 2 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.