Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 7 September 2026AI PICK

Lusitânia Lourosa badgeLusitânia LourosavsAVS badgeAVS

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
53.8%
Edge
+0.8 pts
Best odds
1.86

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.86

LowEdge +0.8%
Our model54.6%
The market53.8%

The market underrated this by 0.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Lusitânia Lourosa badge

Lusitânia Lourosa

Attack53
Defence44
Form46
AVS badge

AVS

Attack61
Defence44
Form39

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model67.3%
The market75.8%
Edge
-8.5
Odds
1.32

Draw No Bet

Lusitânia Lourosa (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market58.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.72

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market53.8%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.86

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.3%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market46.3%
Edge
+8.3
Odds
2.16

Match Winner

Lusitânia Lourosa Win

Correct
Our model41.7%
The market44.1%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
2.27

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.6%
The market9.9%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.15

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.6%

1-1

13.8%

0-0

8.3%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.