Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 10 August 2026AI PICK

Lusitânia Lourosa badgeLusitânia LourosavsFC Porto B badgeFC Porto B

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.5%
Market said
55.1%
Edge
+1.4 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +1.4%
Our model56.5%
The market55.1%

The market underrated this by 1.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +7.3%Miss
Our model72.7%
The market65.4%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
1.53

Draw No Bet

FC Porto B (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Miss
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.4%Correct
Our model56.5%
The market55.1%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
1.73

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.4%Correct
Our model53.6%
The market50.2%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

FC Porto B Win

Edge +8.4%Miss
Our model43.1%
The market34.7%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
2.88

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model13.0%
The market14.9%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
6.70

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.0%

1-1

14.9%

0-0

14.0%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.