Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Lusitânia Lourosa badgeLusitânia LourosavsPacos Ferreira badgePacos Ferreira

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.3%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+0.6 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

MediumEdge +0.6%
Our model62.3%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 0.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Lusitânia Lourosa badge

Lusitânia Lourosa

Attack49
Defence37
Form42
Pacos Ferreira badge

Pacos Ferreira

Attack38
Defence48
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.6%Correct
Our model62.3%
The market61.7%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
1.62

Match Winner

Lusitânia Lourosa Win

Edge +6.3%Correct
Our model56.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Lusitânia Lourosa (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model47.4%
The market53.2%
Edge
-5.8
Odds
1.88

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.