Liga 3 · 22 August 2026AI PICK
Lusitano Évora 1911vs
Mafra
2 - 1Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 56.0%
- Market said
- 38.9%
- Edge
- +17.1 pts
- Best odds
- 2.57
The call, locked before kick-off
MissMafra Win
Match Winner · best price 2.57
The market underrated this by 17.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Lusitano Évora 1911
Mafra
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +17.5
- Odds
- 1.38
Draw No Bet
Mafra (DNB)
- Edge
- +38.5
- Odds
- 1.98
Match Winner
Mafra Win
- Edge
- +17.1
- Odds
- 2.57
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -4.6
- Odds
- 1.70
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -13.4
- Odds
- 1.49
Correct Score
Score: 0-2
- Edge
- -3.0
- Odds
- 4.34
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-2
20.0%
0-1
17.5%
0-3
14.7%
We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.