Liga 3 badgeLiga 3 · 18 April 2026AI PICK

Lusitano Évora 1911 badgeLusitano Évora 1911vsSC Covilha badgeSC Covilha

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.7%
Market said
60.6%
Edge
+7.1 pts
Best odds
1.65

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65

MediumEdge +7.1%
Our model67.7%
The market60.6%

The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Lusitano Évora 1911 badge

Lusitano Évora 1911

Attack42
Defence49
Form42
SC Covilha badge

SC Covilha

Attack45
Defence40
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.1%Correct
Our model67.7%
The market60.6%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
1.65

Draw No Bet

Lusitano Évora 1911 (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Lusitano Évora 1911 Win

Correct
Our model46.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-3.6
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model45.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
-8.5
Odds
1.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.