Serie D · 4 July 2026AI PICK
Luverdensevs
Guaporé
1 - 0Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.1%
- Market said
- 46.5%
- Edge
- +6.6 pts
- Best odds
- 2.15
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15
The market underrated this by 6.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Luverdense
Guaporé
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 4 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +20.3
- Odds
- 1.95
Draw No Bet
Guaporé (DNB)
- Edge
- +2.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +6.6
- Odds
- 2.15
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.4
- Odds
- 2.10
Match Winner
Guaporé Win
- Edge
- +19.0
- Odds
- 5.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.09
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
8.0%
We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.