Ligue 1 badgeLigue 1 · 4 September 2026AI PICK

Lyon badgeLyonvsAuxerre badgeAuxerre

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+3.0 pts
Best odds
1.78

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.78

MediumEdge +3.0%
Our model58.6%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 3.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Lyon badge

Lyon

Attack67
Defence50
Form56
Auxerre badge

Auxerre

Attack57
Defence38
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model73.0%
The market86.2%
Edge
-13.2
Odds
1.16

Draw No Bet

Lyon (DNB)

Correct
Our model65.6%
The market80.0%
Edge
-14.4
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model58.6%
The market55.6%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.78

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.3%
The market53.9%
Edge
-0.6
Odds
1.79

Match Winner

Lyon Win

Correct
Our model51.6%
The market63.3%
Edge
-11.7
Odds
1.58

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model8.4%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.34

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

1-1

8.6%

2-2

7.1%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.