Ligue 1 badgeLigue 1 · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Lyon badgeLyonvsLens badgeLens

0 - 4
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
77.1%
Market said
60.2%
Edge
+16.9 pts
Best odds
1.66

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.66

High confidenceEdge +16.9%
Our model77.1%
The market60.2%

The market underrated this by 16.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Lyon badge

Lyon

Attack51
Defence52
Form45
Lens badge

Lens

Attack91
Defence49
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market79.4%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.26

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.9%Correct
Our model77.1%
The market60.2%
Edge
+16.9
Odds
1.66

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.7%Miss
Our model68.6%
The market64.9%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.54

Match Winner

Lens Win

Edge +23.6%Correct
Our model50.6%
The market27.0%
Edge
+23.6
Odds
3.70

Draw No Bet

Lens (DNB)

Correct
Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.0%
Our model8.1%
The market7.1%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
14.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.1%

1-3

7.0%

2-2

6.5%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.