Lyonvs
Sparta Praha
3 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.7%
- Market said
- 58.0%
- Edge
- +2.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.65
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65
The market underrated this by 2.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Lyon
Sparta Praha
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.7
- Odds
- 1.65
Draw No Bet
Lyon (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -2.0
- Odds
- 1.80
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -35.7
- Odds
- 1.12
Match Winner
Lyon Win
- Edge
- -28.6
- Odds
- 1.50
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.