UEFA Champions League badgeUEFA Champions League · 11 August 2026AI PICK

Lyon badgeLyonvsSparta Praha badgeSparta Praha

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.7%
Market said
58.0%
Edge
+2.7 pts
Best odds
1.65

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65

MediumEdge +2.7%
Our model60.7%
The market58.0%

The market underrated this by 2.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Lyon badge

Lyon

Attack76
Defence38
Form57
Sparta Praha badge

Sparta Praha

Attack67
Defence47
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.7%Correct
Our model60.7%
The market58.0%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.65

Draw No Bet

Lyon (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.8%
The market55.8%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
1.80

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model53.6%
The market89.3%
Edge
-35.7
Odds
1.12

Match Winner

Lyon Win

Correct
Our model38.1%
The market66.7%
Edge
-28.6
Odds
1.50

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.